# Model results ## base - identity: Nefertiti 89%, Meritaten 10%, Male 1%, Tasherit 1% - Smenkhkare: before_coreg 48%, before_sole 32%, after 14%, same 6% (separate person 94%; before 80%, after 14%) - coregency: yes 68%, no 32% - KV55: Smenkhkare 61%, Akhenaten 21%, AnotherSon 17% - Nibhururiya: Akhenaten 68%, Tutankhamun 21%, Smenkhkare 11% - Dahamunzu: Nefertiti 44%, Meritaten 36%, Ankhesenamun 21% - models: N-SB-coreg 43%, N-SB-sole 28%, N-SA 13%, M-SB-coreg 5%, N-SI 5%, M-SB 3% ## sceptical - identity: Nefertiti 50%, Meritaten 26%, Male 21%, Tasherit 4% - Smenkhkare: before_coreg 39%, before_sole 28%, same 28%, after 6% (separate person 72%; before 67%, after 6%) - coregency: yes 59%, no 41% - KV55: Smenkhkare 44%, Akhenaten 32%, AnotherSon 24% - Nibhururiya: Tutankhamun 80%, Akhenaten 17%, Smenkhkare 3% - Dahamunzu: Ankhesenamun 80%, Meritaten 11%, Nefertiti 9% - models: N-SB-coreg 24%, X-SI 21%, N-SB-sole 17%, M-SB-coreg 13%, M-SB 10%, N-SI 6% ## generous - identity: Nefertiti 97%, Meritaten 3%, Tasherit 0%, Male 0% - Smenkhkare: before_coreg 47%, before_sole 31%, after 19%, same 3% (separate person 97%; before 78%, after 19%) - coregency: yes 82%, no 18% - KV55: Smenkhkare 77%, AnotherSon 12%, Akhenaten 11% - Nibhururiya: Akhenaten 89%, Smenkhkare 9%, Tutankhamun 2% - Dahamunzu: Nefertiti 61%, Meritaten 37%, Ankhesenamun 2% - models: N-SB-coreg 46%, N-SB-sole 30%, N-SA 19%, N-SI 3%, M-SB-coreg 1%, M-SB 1% ## prior_literature - identity: Nefertiti 91%, Meritaten 7%, Male 1%, Tasherit 0% - Smenkhkare: before_coreg 51%, before_sole 35%, after 8%, same 6% (separate person 94%; before 86%, after 8%) - coregency: yes 68%, no 32% - KV55: Smenkhkare 61%, Akhenaten 22%, AnotherSon 17% - Nibhururiya: Akhenaten 68%, Tutankhamun 21%, Smenkhkare 11% - Dahamunzu: Nefertiti 45%, Meritaten 34%, Ankhesenamun 21% - models: N-SB-coreg 48%, N-SB-sole 31%, N-SA 7%, N-SI 5%, M-SB 4%, M-SB-coreg 3% ## prior_nefertiti_sceptical - identity: Nefertiti 78%, Meritaten 20%, Male 2%, Tasherit 0% - Smenkhkare: before_coreg 48%, before_sole 32%, after 14%, same 6% (separate person 94%; before 80%, after 14%) - coregency: yes 68%, no 32% - KV55: Smenkhkare 62%, Akhenaten 21%, AnotherSon 17% - Nibhururiya: Akhenaten 68%, Tutankhamun 21%, Smenkhkare 11% - Dahamunzu: Meritaten 40%, Nefertiti 40%, Ankhesenamun 21% - models: N-SB-coreg 38%, N-SB-sole 25%, N-SA 11%, M-SB-coreg 10%, M-SB 7%, N-SI 4% ## prior_one_person_half - identity: Nefertiti 88%, Meritaten 9%, Male 2%, Tasherit 1% - Smenkhkare: before_coreg 43%, before_sole 28%, same 16%, after 13% (separate person 84%; before 72%, after 13%) - coregency: yes 68%, no 32% - KV55: Smenkhkare 56%, Akhenaten 24%, AnotherSon 20% - Nibhururiya: Akhenaten 68%, Tutankhamun 21%, Smenkhkare 10% - Dahamunzu: Nefertiti 44%, Meritaten 34%, Ankhesenamun 21% - models: N-SB-coreg 38%, N-SB-sole 25%, N-SI 13%, N-SA 11%, M-SB-coreg 4%, M-SB 3% ## prior_tut_favouring - identity: Nefertiti 89%, Meritaten 10%, Male 1%, Tasherit 1% - Smenkhkare: before_coreg 51%, before_sole 30%, after 13%, same 7% (separate person 93%; before 81%, after 13%) - coregency: yes 69%, no 31% - KV55: Smenkhkare 62%, Akhenaten 21%, AnotherSon 17% - Nibhururiya: Akhenaten 60%, Tutankhamun 36%, Smenkhkare 3% - Dahamunzu: Nefertiti 39%, Ankhesenamun 36%, Meritaten 25% - models: N-SB-coreg 45%, N-SB-sole 26%, N-SA 12%, N-SI 6%, M-SB-coreg 5%, M-SB 3% ## egyptian_items_only - identity: Nefertiti 89%, Meritaten 10%, Male 1%, Tasherit 1% - Smenkhkare: before_sole 43%, before_coreg 35%, after 13%, same 9% (separate person 91%; before 78%, after 13%) - coregency: yes 80%, no 20% - KV55: Akhenaten 35%, AnotherSon 35%, Smenkhkare 31% - Nibhururiya: Tutankhamun 41%, Akhenaten 41%, Smenkhkare 19% - Dahamunzu: Ankhesenamun 41%, Meritaten 33%, Nefertiti 26% - models: N-SB-sole 38%, N-SB-coreg 31%, N-SA 11%, N-SI 8%, M-SB 4%, M-SB-coreg 4% ## hittite_items_only - identity: Nefertiti 30%, Meritaten 30%, Tasherit 30%, Male 10% - Smenkhkare: after 31%, before_coreg 25%, same 23%, before_sole 21% (separate person 77%; before 46%, after 31%) - coregency: no 65%, yes 35% - KV55: Smenkhkare 37%, AnotherSon 37%, Akhenaten 27% - Nibhururiya: Akhenaten 69%, Tutankhamun 17%, Smenkhkare 14% - Dahamunzu: Meritaten 49%, Nefertiti 34%, Ankhesenamun 17% - models: N-SA 10%, M-SA 10%, T-SA 10%, X-SI 10%, N-SB-coreg 8%, M-SB-coreg 8% ## leave one out (base) | item | P(Nefertiti) | P(separate Smenkhkare) | P(coregency) | P(KV55=Akhenaten) | P(Nib=Tut) | |---|---|---|---|---|---| | E01 | 85 | 90 | 68 | 21 | 20 | | E02 | 76 | 93 | 68 | 21 | 21 | | E03 | 82 | 94 | 68 | 21 | 21 | | E04 | 85 | 93 | 68 | 21 | 21 | | E05 | 86 | 93 | 43 | 20 | 18 | | E06 | 69 | 95 | 57 | 21 | 19 | | E07 | 89 | 86 | 68 | 24 | 21 | | E08 | 89 | 94 | 68 | 22 | 20 | | E09 | 89 | 91 | 68 | 22 | 21 | | E10 | 89 | 93 | 68 | 22 | 21 | | E11 | 89 | 94 | 68 | 22 | 21 | | E12 | 92 | 94 | 68 | 21 | 21 | | E13 | 93 | 94 | 68 | 21 | 21 | | E14 | 89 | 94 | 68 | 21 | 21 | | E15 | 86 | 94 | 68 | 21 | 21 | | E16 | 90 | 94 | 71 | 22 | 21 | | E17 | 89 | 94 | 68 | 21 | 21 | | E18 | 89 | 98 | 68 | 20 | 20 | | K01 | 89 | 91 | 70 | 58 | 24 | | K02 | 89 | 95 | 68 | 9 | 19 | | K03 | 89 | 94 | 68 | 21 | 21 | | K04 | 89 | 92 | 68 | 17 | 21 | | D01 | 88 | 96 | 72 | 30 | 8 | | D02 | 89 | 93 | 73 | 25 | 51 | | D03 | 89 | 94 | 71 | 23 | 37 | | D04 | 89 | 94 | 67 | 20 | 16 | | D05 | 89 | 94 | 70 | 23 | 34 | | D06 | 89 | 94 | 69 | 22 | 27 | | D07 | 89 | 95 | 80 | 18 | 11 | | D08 | 89 | 92 | 68 | 30 | 15 | ## top composite states (base) - 15.9% Nefertiti / Smenkhkare before_coreg / coregency yes / KV55 Smenkhkare / Nibhururiya Akhenaten [N-SB-coreg Dodson 2009/2020, Belmonte 2013, Kawai 2023] - 9.8% Nefertiti / Smenkhkare before_coreg / coregency no / KV55 Smenkhkare / Nibhururiya Akhenaten [N-SB-coreg Dodson 2009/2020, Belmonte 2013, Kawai 2023] - 6.4% Nefertiti / Smenkhkare before_sole / coregency yes / KV55 Smenkhkare / Nibhururiya Akhenaten [N-SB-sole Allen 2016 (as reported), Eaton-Krauss] - 4.0% Nefertiti / Smenkhkare before_sole / coregency no / KV55 Smenkhkare / Nibhururiya Akhenaten [N-SB-sole Allen 2016 (as reported), Eaton-Krauss] - 3.8% Nefertiti / Smenkhkare after / coregency yes / KV55 Smenkhkare / Nibhururiya Akhenaten [N-SA (Allen 1994 order with Nefertiti; no named champion)] - 3.7% Nefertiti / Smenkhkare before_coreg / coregency yes / KV55 Smenkhkare / Nibhururiya Tutankhamun [N-SB-coreg Dodson 2009/2020, Belmonte 2013, Kawai 2023] - 3.0% Nefertiti / Smenkhkare before_sole / coregency yes / KV55 Smenkhkare / Nibhururiya Tutankhamun [N-SB-sole Allen 2016 (as reported), Eaton-Krauss] - 2.9% Nefertiti / Smenkhkare before_coreg / coregency yes / KV55 AnotherSon / Nibhururiya Akhenaten [N-SB-coreg Dodson 2009/2020, Belmonte 2013, Kawai 2023] - 2.8% Nefertiti / Smenkhkare before_coreg / coregency yes / KV55 Akhenaten / Nibhururiya Akhenaten [N-SB-coreg Dodson 2009/2020, Belmonte 2013, Kawai 2023] - 2.8% Nefertiti / Smenkhkare before_sole / coregency yes / KV55 Akhenaten / Nibhururiya Smenkhkare [N-SB-sole Allen 2016 (as reported), Eaton-Krauss] - 2.4% Nefertiti / Smenkhkare after / coregency no / KV55 Smenkhkare / Nibhururiya Akhenaten [N-SA (Allen 1994 order with Nefertiti; no named champion)] - 1.9% Meritaten / Smenkhkare before_coreg / coregency yes / KV55 Smenkhkare / Nibhururiya Akhenaten [M-SB-coreg (no named champion)]