Prior                                                H1 0.400   survived 0.300 (Ed 0.100, Ric 0.100, both 0.100)   H3 0.300
Ledger posterior (raw)                               H1 0.920   survived 0.003 (Ed 0.001, Ric 0.002, both 0.000)   H3 0.077
With 10% unknown-unknowns mixture (REPORTED)         H1 0.848   survived 0.063 (Ed 0.021, Ric 0.022, both 0.020)   H3 0.090

Sensitivity (raw, then mixed): drop one cluster at a time
  drop C1                                            H1 0.674   survived 0.072 (Ed 0.024, Ric 0.028, both 0.020)   H3 0.254
  drop C2                                            H1 0.816   survived 0.063 (Ed 0.021, Ric 0.022, both 0.020)   H3 0.120
  drop C3                                            H1 0.839   survived 0.072 (Ed 0.029, Ric 0.022, both 0.021)   H3 0.089
  drop C4                                            H1 0.839   survived 0.072 (Ed 0.021, Ric 0.030, both 0.020)   H3 0.089
  drop C5                                            H1 0.818   survived 0.068 (Ed 0.023, Ric 0.025, both 0.020)   H3 0.114

Survival-friendly reading: halve the log-strength of C1, C3 and C4
  softened                                           H1 0.773   survived 0.077 (Ed 0.026, Ric 0.029, both 0.021)   H3 0.150
Flat prior (1/5 each)
  flat prior                                         H1 0.820   survived 0.071 (Ed 0.024, Ric 0.027, both 0.020)   H3 0.110
No mixture at all (raw ledger, flat prior)
  raw, flat prior                                    H1 0.889   survived 0.012 (Ed 0.004, Ric 0.007, both 0.000)   H3 0.100