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"median": "81 BC", "p_230_200BC": 0.0003, "p_220_215BC": 0.0, "p_after_218BC": 0.9956, "p_before_218BC": 0.0044, "full_95_span_years": 177 }, "authors_intcal13": { "mu_calBP": 2042, "sigma": 46, "two_sigma_from_calBP": 2125, "two_sigma_to_calBP": 1949, "two_sigma_from": "176 BC", "two_sigma_to": "AD 1", "includes_218BC": false } }, { "lab": "Ta-3021", "c14_bp": 2530, "error": 90, "depth_cm": 40, "bed": "MAD bed, upper part (40 cm)", "material": "peat", "intcal20": { "hpd68": [ { "from_calBP": 2603, "to_calBP": 2491, "from": "654 BC", "to": "542 BC", "p": 0.3258 }, { "from_calBP": 2658, "to_calBP": 2610, "from": "709 BC", "to": "661 BC", "p": 0.1356 }, { "from_calBP": 2745, "to_calBP": 2666, "from": "796 BC", "to": "717 BC", "p": 0.2235 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from_calBP": 2763, "to_calBP": 2356, "from": "814 BC", "to": "407 BC", "p": 0.9548 } ], "mean_calBP": 2584.1, "sd_years": 116.8, "median_calBP": 2584, "median": "635 BC", "p_230_200BC": 0.0002, "p_220_215BC": 0.0001, "p_after_218BC": 0.0001, "p_before_218BC": 0.9998, "full_95_span_years": 408 }, "authors_intcal13": { "mu_calBP": 2587, "sigma": 117, "two_sigma_from_calBP": 2769, "two_sigma_to_calBP": 2357, "two_sigma_from": "820 BC", "two_sigma_to": "408 BC", "includes_218BC": false } }, { "lab": "UBA-23647", "c14_bp": 3537, "error": 28, "depth_cm": 45, "bed": "MAD bed, lower part (45 cm)", "material": "peat", "intcal20": { "hpd68": [ { "from_calBP": 3745, "to_calBP": 3727, "from": "1796 BC", "to": "1778 BC", "p": 0.1327 }, { "from_calBP": 3792, "to_calBP": 3771, "from": "1843 BC", "to": "1822 BC", "p": 0.1753 }, { "from_calBP": 3875, "to_calBP": 3825, "from": "1926 BC", "to": "1876 BC", "p": 0.3796 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from_calBP": 3705, "to_calBP": 3700, "from": "1756 BC", "to": "1751 BC", "p": 0.0064 }, { "from_calBP": 3803, "to_calBP": 3717, "from": "1854 BC", "to": "1768 BC", "p": 0.4559 }, { "from_calBP": 3901, "to_calBP": 3812, "from": "1952 BC", "to": "1863 BC", "p": 0.4918 } ], "mean_calBP": 3809.0, "sd_years": 55.2, "median_calBP": 3820, "median": "1871 BC", "p_230_200BC": 0.0, "p_220_215BC": 0.0, "p_after_218BC": 0.0, "p_before_218BC": 1.0, "full_95_span_years": 202 }, "authors_intcal13": { "mu_calBP": 3811, "sigma": 52, "two_sigma_from_calBP": 3895, "two_sigma_to_calBP": 3720, "two_sigma_from": "1946 BC", "two_sigma_to": "1771 BC", "includes_218BC": false } }, { "lab": "Ta-3022", "c14_bp": 3270, "error": 100, "depth_cm": 50, "bed": "MAD bed, lower part (50 cm)", "material": "peat", "intcal20": { "hpd68": [ { "from_calBP": 3586, "to_calBP": 3379, "from": "1637 BC", "to": "1430 BC", "p": 0.6491 }, { "from_calBP": 3619, "to_calBP": 3604, "from": "1670 BC", "to": "1655 BC", "p": 0.0342 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from_calBP": 3302, "to_calBP": 3248, "from": "1353 BC", "to": "1299 BC", "p": 0.0336 }, { "from_calBP": 3723, "to_calBP": 3321, "from": "1774 BC", "to": "1372 BC", "p": 0.9025 }, { "from_calBP": 3764, "to_calBP": 3753, "from": "1815 BC", "to": "1804 BC", "p": 0.0046 }, { "from_calBP": 3821, "to_calBP": 3796, "from": "1872 BC", "to": "1847 BC", "p": 0.0136 } ], "mean_calBP": 3505.8, "sd_years": 121.0, "median_calBP": 3501, "median": "1552 BC", "p_230_200BC": 0.0, "p_220_215BC": 0.0, "p_after_218BC": 0.0, "p_before_218BC": 1.0, "full_95_span_years": 574 }, "authors_intcal13": { "mu_calBP": 3509, "sigma": 118, "two_sigma_from_calBP": 3820, "two_sigma_to_calBP": 3249, "two_sigma_from": "1871 BC", "two_sigma_to": "1300 BC", "includes_218BC": false } }, { "lab": "UBA-24876", "c14_bp": 3282, "error": 28, "depth_cm": 50, "bed": "MAD bed, lower part (50 cm)", "material": "peat", "intcal20": { "hpd68": [ { "from_calBP": 3493, "to_calBP": 3456, "from": "1544 BC", "to": "1507 BC", "p": 0.4194 }, { "from_calBP": 3508, "to_calBP": 3505, "from": "1559 BC", "to": "1556 BC", "p": 0.0324 }, { "from_calBP": 3551, "to_calBP": 3530, "from": "1602 BC", "to": "1581 BC", "p": 0.1924 }, { "from_calBP": 3557, "to_calBP": 3553, "from": "1608 BC", "to": "1604 BC", "p": 0.0393 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from_calBP": 3568, "to_calBP": 3448, "from": "1619 BC", "to": "1499 BC", "p": 0.954 } ], "mean_calBP": 3501.3, "sd_years": 37.5, "median_calBP": 3495, "median": "1546 BC", "p_230_200BC": 0.0, "p_220_215BC": 0.0, "p_after_218BC": 0.0, "p_before_218BC": 1.0, "full_95_span_years": 121 }, "authors_intcal13": { "mu_calBP": 3511, "sigma": 36, "two_sigma_from_calBP": 3573, "two_sigma_to_calBP": 3450, "two_sigma_from": "1624 BC", "two_sigma_to": "1501 BC", "includes_218BC": false } }, { "lab": "Beta-305009", "c14_bp": 3170, "error": 30, "depth_cm": 65, "bed": "pre-invasion beds (base of core, 65 cm)", "material": "peat", "intcal20": { "hpd68": [ { "from_calBP": 3405, "to_calBP": 3368, "from": "1456 BC", "to": "1419 BC", "p": 0.4717 }, { "from_calBP": 3444, "to_calBP": 3426, "from": "1495 BC", "to": "1477 BC", "p": 0.2141 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from_calBP": 3280, "to_calBP": 3277, "from": "1331 BC", "to": "1328 BC", "p": 0.0064 }, { "from_calBP": 3452, "to_calBP": 3347, "from": "1503 BC", "to": "1398 BC", "p": 0.9477 } ], "mean_calBP": 3397.3, "sd_years": 34.6, "median_calBP": 3396, "median": "1447 BC", "p_230_200BC": 0.0, "p_220_215BC": 0.0, "p_after_218BC": 0.0, "p_before_218BC": 1.0, "full_95_span_years": 176 }, "authors_intcal13": { "mu_calBP": 3398, "sigma": 33, "two_sigma_from_calBP": 3454, "two_sigma_to_calBP": 3345, "two_sigma_from": "1505 BC", "two_sigma_to": "1396 BC", "includes_218BC": false } }, { "lab": "UBA-30324", "c14_bp": 1393, "error": 49, "depth_cm": 22, "bed": "G5B, above churned zone (22 cm)", "material": "peat", "intcal20": { "hpd68": [ { "from_calBP": 1345, "to_calBP": 1284, "from": "AD 605", "to": "AD 666", "p": 0.6889 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from_calBP": 1208, "to_calBP": 1178, "from": "AD 742", "to": "AD 772", "p": 0.0787 }, { "from_calBP": 1254, "to_calBP": 1248, "from": "AD 696", "to": "AD 702", "p": 0.0097 }, { "from_calBP": 1379, "to_calBP": 1261, "from": "AD 571", "to": "AD 689", "p": 0.8663 } ], "mean_calBP": 1303.2, "sd_years": 44.7, "median_calBP": 1307, "median": "AD 643", "p_230_200BC": 0.0, "p_220_215BC": 0.0, "p_after_218BC": 1.0, "p_before_218BC": 0.0, "full_95_span_years": 202 }, "authors_intcal13": null }, { "lab": "UBA-30321", "c14_bp": 2678, "error": 41, "depth_cm": 36, "bed": "G5B, churned zone (35-37 cm)", "material": "peat", "intcal20": { "hpd68": [ { "from_calBP": 2788, "to_calBP": 2751, "from": "839 BC", "to": "802 BC", "p": 0.4636 }, { "from_calBP": 2845, "to_calBP": 2821, "from": "896 BC", "to": "872 BC", "p": 0.2194 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from_calBP": 2857, "to_calBP": 2741, "from": "908 BC", "to": "792 BC", "p": 0.9545 } ], "mean_calBP": 2795.4, "sd_years": 35.8, "median_calBP": 2786, "median": "837 BC", "p_230_200BC": 0.0, "p_220_215BC": 0.0, "p_after_218BC": 0.0, "p_before_218BC": 1.0, "full_95_span_years": 117 }, "authors_intcal13": null }, { "lab": "UBA-30331", "c14_bp": 1842, "error": 41, "depth_cm": 45, "bed": "G5C (45 cm)", "material": "peat", "intcal20": { "hpd68": [ { "from_calBP": 1752, "to_calBP": 1709, "from": "AD 198", "to": "AD 241", "p": 0.3455 }, { "from_calBP": 1796, "to_calBP": 1756, "from": "AD 154", "to": "AD 194", "p": 0.2533 }, { "from_calBP": 1820, "to_calBP": 1806, "from": "AD 130", "to": "AD 144", "p": 0.0894 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from_calBP": 1667, "to_calBP": 1623, "from": "AD 283", "to": "AD 327", "p": 0.1052 }, { "from_calBP": 1833, "to_calBP": 1694, "from": "AD 117", "to": "AD 256", "p": 0.8335 }, { "from_calBP": 1865, "to_calBP": 1855, "from": "AD 85", "to": "AD 95", "p": 0.0159 } ], "mean_calBP": 1749.9, "sd_years": 56.3, "median_calBP": 1750, "median": "AD 200", "p_230_200BC": 0.0, "p_220_215BC": 0.0, "p_after_218BC": 1.0, "p_before_218BC": 0.0, "full_95_span_years": 243 }, "authors_intcal13": null }, { "lab": "UBA-30330", "c14_bp": 2190, "error": 35, "depth_cm": 51, "bed": "G5C (51 cm) -- authors' 218 BC bed at 50 cm", "material": "peat", "intcal20": { "hpd68": [ { "from_calBP": 2137, "to_calBP": 2125, "from": "188 BC", "to": "176 BC", "p": 0.0612 }, { "from_calBP": 2180, "to_calBP": 2144, "from": "231 BC", "to": "195 BC", "p": 0.2007 }, { "from_calBP": 2304, "to_calBP": 2231, "from": "355 BC", "to": "282 BC", "p": 0.4234 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from_calBP": 2075, "to_calBP": 2074, "from": "126 BC", "to": "125 BC", "p": 0.0018 }, { "from_calBP": 2328, "to_calBP": 2101, "from": "379 BC", "to": "152 BC", "p": 0.9524 } ], "mean_calBP": 2212.5, "sd_years": 67.0, "median_calBP": 2223, "median": "274 BC", "p_230_200BC": 0.1716, "p_220_215BC": 0.031, "p_after_218BC": 0.2972, "p_before_218BC": 0.6976, "full_95_span_years": 255 }, "authors_intcal13": null }, { "lab": "UBA-30330b", "c14_bp": 2523, "error": 36, "depth_cm": 58, "bed": "G5C (58 cm) [lab number printed as UBA-30330 twice; sic]", "material": "peat", "intcal20": { "hpd68": [ { "from_calBP": 2592, "to_calBP": 2515, "from": "643 BC", "to": "566 BC", "p": 0.3904 }, { "from_calBP": 2637, "to_calBP": 2615, "from": "688 BC", "to": "666 BC", "p": 0.1274 }, { "from_calBP": 2725, "to_calBP": 2697, "from": "776 BC", "to": "748 BC", "p": 0.1683 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from_calBP": 2604, "to_calBP": 2490, "from": "655 BC", "to": "541 BC", "p": 0.4923 }, { "from_calBP": 2659, "to_calBP": 2610, "from": "710 BC", "to": "661 BC", "p": 0.1839 }, { "from_calBP": 2742, "to_calBP": 2665, "from": "793 BC", "to": "716 BC", "p": 0.2784 } ], "mean_calBP": 2605.6, "sd_years": 78.6, "median_calBP": 2592, "median": "643 BC", "p_230_200BC": 0.0, "p_220_215BC": 0.0, "p_after_218BC": 0.0, "p_before_218BC": 1.0, "full_95_span_years": 253 }, "authors_intcal13": null }, { "lab": "UBA-30318", "c14_bp": 1724, "error": 38, "depth_cm": 35, "bed": "G5D (35 cm)", "material": "peat", "intcal20": { "hpd68": [ { "from_calBP": 1554, "to_calBP": 1548, "from": "AD 396", "to": "AD 402", "p": 0.0427 }, { "from_calBP": 1563, "to_calBP": 1558, "from": "AD 387", "to": "AD 392", "p": 0.0359 }, { "from_calBP": 1623, "to_calBP": 1568, "from": "AD 327", "to": "AD 382", "p": 0.406 }, { "from_calBP": 1694, "to_calBP": 1667, "from": "AD 256", "to": "AD 283", "p": 0.2012 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from_calBP": 1646, "to_calBP": 1538, "from": "AD 304", "to": "AD 412", "p": 0.6529 }, { "from_calBP": 1703, "to_calBP": 1651, "from": "AD 247", "to": "AD 299", "p": 0.3021 } ], "mean_calBP": 1619.1, "sd_years": 49.9, "median_calBP": 1612, "median": "AD 338", "p_230_200BC": 0.0, "p_220_215BC": 0.0, "p_after_218BC": 1.0, "p_before_218BC": 0.0, "full_95_span_years": 166 }, "authors_intcal13": null }, { "lab": "UBA-30315", "c14_bp": 2329, "error": 55, "depth_cm": 45, "bed": "G5D (45 cm) -- authors' 218 BC bed at 45 cm", "material": "peat", "intcal20": { "hpd68": [ { "from_calBP": 2194, "to_calBP": 2182, "from": "245 BC", "to": "233 BC", "p": 0.0405 }, { "from_calBP": 2227, "to_calBP": 2207, "from": "278 BC", "to": "258 BC", "p": 0.0629 }, { "from_calBP": 2430, "to_calBP": 2306, "from": "481 BC", "to": "357 BC", "p": 0.5661 }, { "from_calBP": 2455, "to_calBP": 2454, "from": "506 BC", "to": "505 BC", "p": 0.0048 }, { "from_calBP": 2460, "to_calBP": 2457, "from": "511 BC", "to": "508 BC", "p": 0.0099 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from_calBP": 2265, "to_calBP": 2153, "from": "316 BC", "to": "204 BC", "p": 0.2136 }, { "from_calBP": 2494, "to_calBP": 2296, "from": "545 BC", "to": "347 BC", "p": 0.7002 }, { "from_calBP": 2611, "to_calBP": 2600, "from": "662 BC", "to": "651 BC", "p": 0.0126 }, { "from_calBP": 2681, "to_calBP": 2646, "from": "732 BC", "to": "697 BC", "p": 0.0277 } ], "mean_calBP": 2355.5, "sd_years": 112.5, "median_calBP": 2349, "median": "400 BC", "p_230_200BC": 0.0359, "p_220_215BC": 0.0085, "p_after_218BC": 0.023, "p_before_218BC": 0.9756, "full_95_span_years": 529 }, "authors_intcal13": null } ], "forty_cm_pair_test": { "dates": [ "UBA-24875", "Ta-3021" ], "weighted_mean_bp": 2118.8, "weighted_mean_err": 29.3, "chi2_T": 23.35, "df": 1, "chi2_crit_5pct": 3.84, "p_value": 1.3484491482436868e-06, "consistent_at_5pct": false, "note": "If T > 3.84 the two measurements cannot be estimates of the same true age at the 5 % level, so combining them (or treating them as 'bracketing' one event) is not statistically justified.", "combined_if_taken_anyway": { "hpd68": [ { "from": "72 BC", "to": "56 BC", "p": 0.1074 }, { "from": "173 BC", "to": "96 BC", "p": 0.5801 } ], "hpd95": [ { "from": "200 BC", "to": "50 BC", "p": 0.9035 }, { "from": "341 BC", "to": "324 BC", "p": 0.0512 } ], "p_230_200BC": 0.0097 } }, "diagnostics": { "curve_500BC_to_AD100": { "c14_min": 1921.0, "c14_max": 2431.0, "note": "IntCal20 between 500 BC and AD 100; the Hallstatt plateau (c. 800-400 BC, ~2450 14C BP) ends near 400 BC, after which the curve falls steeply to c. 2100 BP by c. 150 BC, then wiggles." }, "UBA-24875_calendar_years_within_1sigma_of_curve_500BC_AD100": { "n_years": 76, "earliest": "145 BC", "latest": "2 BC" }, "Ta-3021_calendar_years_within_1sigma_of_curve_500BC_AD100": { "n_years": 0, "earliest": null, "latest": null }, "curve_at_218BC": { "calBP": 2167, "c14_age": 2216.0, "sigma": 14.0 }, "curve_values_selected": { "450 BC": 2408.0, "400 BC": 2346.0, "350 BC": 2207.0, "300 BC": 2209.0, "250 BC": 2227.0, "218 BC": 2216.0, "200 BC": 2174.0, "150 BC": 2111.0, "100 BC": 2097.0, "50 BC": 2066.0, "AD 1": 2030.0 } } }