== Test 1: the Bixby letter (paper's design; 10 random sequences; sample = 0.95 x smaller pool) type n_types Lincoln Hay margin(L-H) winner word1 86 0.8953 0.9535 -0.0581 Hay word2 128 0.4547 0.5898 -0.1352 Hay word3 128 0.1320 0.1781 -0.0461 Hay word4 123 0.0163 0.0439 -0.0276 Hay word5 118 0.0085 0.0059 +0.0025 Lincoln char1 27 1.0000 1.0000 +0.0000 tie char2 207 1.0000 1.0000 +0.0000 tie char3 461 0.9976 1.0000 -0.0024 Hay char4 582 0.9826 0.9959 -0.0132 Hay char5 642 0.9375 0.9745 -0.0369 Hay char6 677 0.8517 0.9313 -0.0796 Hay char7 695 0.7416 0.8291 -0.0875 Hay char8 702 0.6204 0.7084 -0.0880 Hay char9 703 0.4794 0.5624 -0.0831 Hay char10 700 0.3507 0.4484 -0.0977 Hay char11 695 0.2466 0.3282 -0.0816 Hay char12 690 0.1625 0.2293 -0.0668 Hay char13 685 0.1007 0.1591 -0.0584 Hay char14 680 0.0696 0.1121 -0.0425 Hay char15 675 0.0447 0.0884 -0.0437 Hay char16 670 0.0325 0.0519 -0.0194 Hay char17 665 0.0238 0.0463 -0.0226 Hay char18 660 0.0148 0.0289 -0.0141 Hay char19 655 0.0061 0.0200 -0.0139 Hay char20 650 0.0028 0.0103 -0.0075 Hay char4-10: Lincoln 0, Hay 7, tie 0 word1-3: Lincoln 0, Hay 3, tie 0 all17: Lincoln 0, Hay 17, tie 0 == Test 3: register-matched pieces (paper's design), majority of char 4-10 lincoln pieces: 63; majority char 4-10 wrong: 15, ties: 1; majority of all 17 wrong: 7 per-type accuracy: word1 0.48, word2 0.89, word3 0.90, word4 0.79, word5 0.43, char1 0.00, char2 0.17, char3 0.32, char4 0.27, char5 0.27, char6 0.49, char7 0.70, char8 0.78, char9 0.89, char10 0.94, char11 0.89, char12 0.87, char13 0.89, char14 0.89, char15 0.89, char16 0.90, char17 0.87, char18 0.86, char19 0.81, char20 0.78 wrong by char 4-10: basler-VII-0654#2 L2/H5; basler-VII-0765 L0/H7; L6-0135#3 L1/H6; L6-0204#0 L3/H4; L6-0204#1 L3/H4; L6-0204#3 L1/H6; L6-0232#0 L2/H5; L6-0476 L2/H5; L7-0012 L1/H6; sp_gettysburg#0 L2/H5; sp_gettysburg#1 L2/H5; sp_second_inaugural#3 L2/H5; sp_second_inaugural#4 L2/H5; sp_ellsworth#0 L0/H7; sp_ellsworth#1 L1/H6 hay pieces: 57; majority char 4-10 wrong: 2, ties: 0; majority of all 17 wrong: 6 per-type accuracy: word1 0.95, word2 0.86, word3 0.74, word4 0.58, word5 0.42, char1 0.05, char2 0.56, char3 0.91, char4 0.93, char5 0.95, char6 0.95, char7 0.96, char8 0.95, char9 0.93, char10 0.91, char11 0.82, char12 0.79, char13 0.74, char14 0.72, char15 0.70, char16 0.63, char17 0.61, char18 0.61, char19 0.58, char20 0.61 wrong by char 4-10: hay_baker_06 L7/H0; hay_baker_07 L7/H0 == Special texts (paper's design), majority of char 4-10 and all 17 special:bixby (None, 138 w): char4-10 L 0 H 7; all17 L 0 H 17 special:gettysburg (lincoln, 272 w): char4-10 L 3 H 4; all17 L 13 H 4 special:second_inaugural (lincoln, 701 w): char4-10 L 5 H 2; all17 L 14 H 3 special:mccullough (lincoln, 192 w): char4-10 L 5 H 2; all17 L 14 H 3 special:ellsworth (lincoln, 266 w): char4-10 L 0 H 7; all17 L 7 H 10 special:gurney (lincoln, 269 w): char4-10 L 6 H 1; all17 L 15 H 2 special:boker_1863 (hay_for_lincoln, 135 w): char4-10 L 1 H 6; all17 L 1 H 16 special:hay_condolence_1864 (hay, 55 w): char4-10 L 0 H 7; all17 L 0 H 16 special:garrison_1865 (hay_for_lincoln, 118 w): char4-10 L 0 H 7; all17 L 1 H 16 special:driggs_1865 (hay_for_lincoln, 51 w): char4-10 L 4 H 3; all17 L 6 H 10 special:charles_butler_1864 (hay_for_lincoln, 50 w): char4-10 L 5 H 2; all17 L 10 H 6 == Test 2: leave-one-out attribution of every pool text (paper's design) type Hay: rec pre F1 | Lincoln: rec pre F1 | acc (ties counted wrong) word1 0.98 0.96 0.97 | 0.92 0.97 0.95 | 0.96 word2 0.98 0.99 0.98 | 0.97 0.97 0.97 | 0.98 word3 0.94 0.99 0.97 | 0.97 0.91 0.94 | 0.95 word4 0.87 0.97 0.92 | 0.92 0.83 0.87 | 0.89 word5 0.77 0.95 0.85 | 0.75 0.79 0.77 | 0.76 char1 0.09 0.99 0.17 | 0.06 0.76 0.10 | 0.08 char2 0.50 0.96 0.66 | 0.73 0.73 0.73 | 0.58 char3 0.94 0.97 0.95 | 0.91 0.96 0.94 | 0.93 char4 0.99 0.96 0.98 | 0.93 0.99 0.96 | 0.97 char5 1.00 0.96 0.98 | 0.93 0.99 0.96 | 0.97 char6 1.00 0.97 0.98 | 0.94 1.00 0.97 | 0.98 char7 0.99 0.98 0.99 | 0.97 0.99 0.98 | 0.98 char8 0.99 0.99 0.99 | 0.97 0.99 0.98 | 0.99 char9 0.98 0.99 0.99 | 0.98 0.97 0.97 | 0.98 char10 0.97 0.99 0.98 | 0.99 0.94 0.97 | 0.97 char11 0.96 0.99 0.98 | 0.99 0.93 0.96 | 0.97 char12 0.95 0.99 0.97 | 0.99 0.91 0.95 | 0.96 char13 0.93 0.99 0.96 | 0.99 0.89 0.94 | 0.95 char14 0.92 0.99 0.95 | 0.98 0.88 0.93 | 0.94 char15 0.90 0.99 0.94 | 0.98 0.85 0.91 | 0.93 char16 0.89 0.99 0.94 | 0.98 0.84 0.90 | 0.92 char17 0.88 0.98 0.93 | 0.97 0.83 0.90 | 0.91 char18 0.87 0.98 0.92 | 0.95 0.82 0.88 | 0.90 char19 0.84 0.97 0.90 | 0.92 0.79 0.85 | 0.87 char20 0.82 0.97 0.89 | 0.90 0.78 0.84 | 0.85 majority char vote: Lincoln texts 505, wrong 13; Hay texts 892, wrong 4 wrong: basler-I-0002 (lincoln_pre1860, L1/H6); basler-I-0063 (lincoln_pre1860, L2/H5); basler-I-0136 (lincoln_pre1860, L3/H4); basler-I-0208 (lincoln_pre1860, L0/H7); basler-I-0211 (lincoln_pre1860, L2/H5); basler-I-0296 (lincoln_pre1860, L3/H4); basler-I-0306 (lincoln_pre1860, L2/H5); basler-I-0307 (lincoln_pre1860, L0/H7); basler-I-0374 (lincoln_pre1860, L2/H5); L2-0064 (lincoln_pre1860, L2/H5); L2-0104 (lincoln_pre1860, L1/H6); L5-0011 (lincoln_pre1860, L3/H4); L5-0018 (lincoln_pre1860, L0/H7); hay-0313 (hay_all, L5/H2); hay-0608 (hay_all, L5/H2); hay-0870 (hay_all, L5/H1); hay-0879 (hay_all, L4/H3) majority word vote: Lincoln texts 505, wrong 9; Hay texts 892, wrong 16 wrong: basler-I-0002 (lincoln_pre1860, L1/H2); basler-I-0136 (lincoln_pre1860, L1/H2); basler-I-0167 (lincoln_pre1860, L1/H2); basler-I-0190 (lincoln_pre1860, L1/H2); basler-I-0199 (lincoln_pre1860, L1/H2); basler-I-0208 (lincoln_pre1860, L1/H2); basler-I-0306 (lincoln_pre1860, L0/H3); basler-I-0307 (lincoln_pre1860, L0/H2); L5-0018 (lincoln_pre1860, L0/H3); hay-0073 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0080 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0099 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0110 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0140 (hay_all, L3/H0); hay-0272 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0313 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0538 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0542 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0564 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0653 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0805 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0830 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0870 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0879 (hay_all, L2/H1); hay-0885 (hay_all, L2/H1)